Early Hurricane Outlook 2007

[TreeFrog]

Like many others here I prefer to go to Jeff Masters for my hurricane info. Here's his latest take on the upcoming season. In sum: SST's higher, but not as high as 2005; too early to tell about the tradewinds or steering currents. Check back in May.

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=632&tstamp=200703#commenttop

Seconding TFT on Jeff Masters!

He avoids sensationalism, offers informed speculation (which he identifies as such), and views weather as a public service, not a media event. Bless him!
I'll never forget he publicly advocated evacuating NO on the Wednesday before Katrina struck, well ahead of anyone else.

His blog just before today's reviews the April CSU Gray/Klotzbach forecast. While the rest of the media takes it as gospel, Jeff correctly points out that their April forecasts, while improving, are not very accurate. OTOH, their June forecasts are usually much more dependable.

I've recently read Divine Wind, by Kerry Emanual. Highly recommended. It will raise your understanding of hurricanes.

 

[joho]

Well, there was a phenomena in New Orleans last May referred to as the Katrina baby boom....Skunky even got a new cousin.

Seriously, people...let's stop this. Remember how the guy from Colorado that accurately predicted 2005 predicted 5 major storms last year? Nobody really knows until the little boogers start swirling out of Africa. Why work ourselves into a lather? I for one need a valium everytime I read something like this...and I seriously don't want to move to North Dakota.

I totally agree with you Rapunzel.......if one has our name on it we'll "batton down the hatches". Why worry?